Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.027501 0.029609 0.031727 0.034010 0.036400 0.038825 0.041468
2025-12-07 0.022996 0.026264 0.029670 0.033472 0.037585 0.041886 0.046711
2025-12-14 0.019926 0.023829 0.028015 0.032809 0.038117 0.043789 0.050278
2025-12-21 0.017522 0.021826 0.026558 0.032097 0.038352 0.045152 0.053057
2025-12-28 0.016434 0.021168 0.026479 0.032803 0.040057 0.048048 0.057448
2026-01-04 0.015169 0.020191 0.025936 0.032890 0.040982 0.050007 0.060740
2026-01-11 0.013977 0.019207 0.025304 0.032800 0.041640 0.051611 0.063587
2026-01-18 0.013346 0.018849 0.025366 0.033484 0.043163 0.054182 0.067523
2026-01-25 0.012386 0.018023 0.024812 0.033388 0.043732 0.055620 0.070132
2026-02-01 0.011547 0.017295 0.024334 0.033342 0.044326 0.057062 0.072726
2026-02-08 0.010754 0.016579 0.023830 0.033229 0.044809 0.058351 0.075126
2026-02-15 0.010033 0.015916 0.023358 0.033124 0.045276 0.059602 0.077466
2026-02-22 0.009311 0.015253 0.022905 0.033083 0.045887 0.061109 0.080229
2026-03-01 0.008415 0.014313 0.022067 0.032541 0.045876 0.061883 0.082145
2026-03-08 0.007558 0.013372 0.021178 0.031889 0.045691 0.062416 0.083751
2026-03-15 0.006763 0.012464 0.020287 0.031190 0.045411 0.062803 0.085157
2026-03-22 0.006520 0.012347 0.020460 0.031883 0.046897 0.065368 0.089221
2026-03-29 0.006092 0.011926 0.020191 0.031969 0.047591 0.066943 0.092071
2026-04-05 0.005641 0.011441 0.019807 0.031880 0.048044 0.068207 0.094535
2026-04-12 0.005456 0.011358 0.019986 0.032551 0.049486 0.070717 0.098548
2026-04-19 0.005058 0.010910 0.019620 0.032457 0.049911 0.071935 0.100954
2026-04-26 0.004703 0.010507 0.019301 0.032412 0.050389 0.073214 0.103434
2026-05-03 0.004356 0.010094 0.018946 0.032301 0.050768 0.074358 0.105741